Despite President Trump's warnings about Iran's missile capabilities, U.S. intelligence estimates and external experts suggest Iran is far from developing intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) capable of striking the U.S. homeland.
Significant technological hurdles remain, including developing re-entry vehicles and advanced guidance systems. Iran denies pursuing ICBMs, stating its missiles are limited to a 2,000 km range for deterrence.
While some U.S. officials, like Secretary of State Marco Rubio, believe Iran is on a path to developing ICBMs, others, like Rosemary Kelanic, see a "huge gap" in their current abilities. The Defense Intelligence Agency projects Iran could deploy ocean-spanning missiles by 2035 if it adapts its satellite launch technology.
The U.S. is demanding Iran curb its missile ambitions as part of broader diplomatic talks, but Iran has shown no public flexibility on its missile program, complicating negotiations.
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